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NFL Week 11 Picks and Predictions
Updated: December 2021

NFL WEEK 11 PREDICTIONS

 

 

 

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The Patriots are on fire. Many thought the Browns would go to New England and have a day. That didn’t happen. New England won big 45-7 and now travels to Atlanta to face a Falcons team that got drilled by Dallas 43-3. The Falcons may play better this week, but not good enough to beat the Patriots… NEW ENGLAND 29, ATLANTA 13

 

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The Bills got back on track with a big win over the Jets last week. Buffalo is in command of the AFC East but needs to stay ahead of New England (6-4). The Colts weren’t all that impressive in their win over the Jags last week though RB Jonathan Taylor did run for 116 yards on 21 carries. Indy will have to be much better to beat the Bills at home. Buffalo beat the Colts in last year’s AFC wild card game and they have beaten Indy the last four times the teams have played in Buffalo. Make it five… BUFFALO 34, INDIANAPOLIS 21

 

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The Ravens and Bears haven’t played in four years. Chicago won that game. They played in 2013 too and the Bears won that one. Don’t expect a repeat. Baltimore is 6-3 and leads the AFC North. Chicago has one of the NFL’s worst offenses and is 3-6. Even playing at Soldier Field will not save this Bears team… BALTIMORE 28, CHICAGO 17

 

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The Lions are so bad they looked bad in a tie last week. The Browns are once again “the same old Browns.” Cleveland has the better roster and they are playing at home. Baker Mayfield and company will play down to their level of competition. This one will be ugly, but the Browns stay alive - barely - in the AFC playoff race… CLEVELAND 22, DETROIT 16

 

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This is one of those trap games. Tennessee (8-2) has established itself as one of the league’s best teams. The Titans have won six in a row. Their last loss was to a team that was inferior – the Jets. Houston might be the league’s worst team. Tennessee has won the last three in a row in the series, including games when the Texans weren’t that bad. The Titans could be looking ahead to the Patriots the following week. Still, Tennessee finds a way to win… TENNESSEE 24, HOUSTON 23

 

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Two teams coming off big upsets last week will meet in Week 11. Washington beat Tampa Bay and Cam Newton touched the ball twice and scored two touchdowns in his return as the Panthers knocked off Arizona 34-10. The Football Team suffered a big loss though as DE Chase Young suffered a season-ending ACL injury. The Panthers are at home and it’s possible RB Christian McCaffrey returns… CAROLINA 23, WASHINGTON 20

 

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The Jags are starting to play better. They did lose to the Colts last week but stayed within one score of the Colts. Can they play well enough to hold off San Francisco? The 49ers have been a huge disappointment thus far, and they will be playing on the road in Jacksonville. The Jags will take advantage of being a home underdog again… JACKSONVILLE 27, SAN FRANCISCO 20

 

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The Bengals had a week off to get the bad taste of that Browns loss out of their mouths. The Raiders took one on the chin to Kansas City last Sunday night. With both teams at 5-4, a win goes a long way in helping that team get to the playoffs. Cincinnati will be better rested and Joe Burrow will look to take advantage of a Raiders defense that gave up five touchdown passes last week. The Raiders are playing at home though… LAS VEGAS 30, CINCINNATI 27

 

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Both the Cowboys and Chiefs got back on track with recent wins. Is Patrick Mahomes losing his touch? He might be hard-pressed to keep up with Dallas QB Dak Prescott. The Chiefs defense is a disaster that Prescott should tear apart. It’s doubtful the Chiefs and Mahomes can keep up with Dallas in a shootout… DALLAS 38, KANSAS CITY 30

 

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Not having Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins finally caught up to Arizona. The Seahawks got QB Russell Wilson back but couldn’t the ball in the end zone against the Packers in a 17-0 loss last week. Seattle’s playoff hopes aren’t completely dead yet, though they are on life support. Murray is expected to play in Week 11, which is bad news for the Seahawks… ARIZONA 33, SEATTLE 20

 

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Minus Ben Roethlisberger, the Steelers let Detroit hang around enough to kiss their sister and end up in a tie. The tie doesn’t hurt the Steelers, but a loss to the Chargers would set them back. One team that has cooled off since the start of the season is the Chargers. They can’t afford another loss if they want to stay alive in the division and playoff races. At home, LA has a slight advantage… LA CHARGERS 25, PITTSBURGH 22

 

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Last week, the Football Team somehow figured out how to beat Tampa Bay. Can the Giants do the same? They had an extra week to prepare for this game, but how do they fix an offense that scores just 19.9 points a game? Plus, how do they stop Tom Brady and company coming off a loss? The Bucs are 5-2 after a loss with Brady at quarterback. Don’t expect Tampa Bay to play that poorly in two consecutive weeks… TAMPA BAY 34, NY GIANTS 20

 

 

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2020 predictions

 

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Arizona has turned some heads in 2020. The Cardinals proved once again they are for real with a win over Buffalo last week. Now, there is a logjam at the top of the NFC West Division. The Cards now face one of those division foes next week - Seattle. Arizona has already beaten the Seahawks once, 37-34, in Arizona. The Seahawks have lost two straight and three of their last four games. It’s hard to see them losing a third straight, especially at home...SEATTLE 30, ARIZONA 27

 

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The Lions figured out how to win a game in the final minute with a 30-27 win over Washington last week. It’s a far cry from Detroit’s performances earlier this season when the Lions blew a pair of victories in the games’ final minutes. Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater should have RB Christian McCaffrey back and that, plus playing in Charlotte, is enough to beat the Lions… CAROLINA 33, DETROIT 27

 

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The Steelers are 9-0 for the first time ever and travel to Jacksonville, which is just 1-8. The Jags played well last week in Green Bay falling by just four points 24-20. The Steelers defense is one of the best in the league. Jags QB Jake Luton had a rough go last week going 18-of-35 for just 159 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. The Pittsburgh defense is much better than the Packers… PITTSBURGH 33, JACKSONVILLE 20

 

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The Patriots (4-5) pulled off a huge upset last week beating Baltimore at home. Houston continued its disaster of a season with a 10-7 loss to Cleveland. New England has won eight of the last ten meetings with the Texans. The last time the two teams met in Houston though - that was last year - the Texans pulled off a 28-22 victory. While Houston hasn’t had much success this season, the Texans have won their last five straight games against teams from the AFC East… HOUSTON 24, NEW ENGLAND 20

 

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Miami won for the fifth straight game bringing the Dolphins to 6-3 and putting them in prime position for a playoff berth. The Dolphins offense has been efficient with rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa inserted into the lineup. Denver managed just six points until scoring a touchdown with six minutes to play in last week’s loss to the Raiders. The Dolphins are hot. Denver is not… MIAMI 37, DENVER 23

 

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If the Jets are going to win a game, this might be their best chance. The 2-7 Chargers continue to figure out different ways to lose games. The Jets had an extra week to prepare and an extra week for QB Sam Darnold to heal up. The Chargers offense can put up points. The defense just can’t stop anyone, though they should be able to slow down a Jets offense that barely averages 13 points a game… L.A. CHARGERS 30, NEW YORK JETS 23

 

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The Packers will face a tough test in Indianapolis. The Colts will have an extra three days to prepare having beaten Tennessee last Thursday. Green Bay had a tough time with lowly Jacksonville last week. Indy has actually beaten the Packers in three of the last four meetings between the two teams. Two of those games were in Indianapolis. Green Bay could struggle against a very good Colts defense… INDIANAPOLIS 20, GREEN BAY 17

 

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The good thing about having a week off is that the Cowboys couldn’t lose. Dallas is 11-8 since 2003 in games after a bye. Minnesota has been riding the back of RB Dalvin Cook who leads the NFL in rushing yards per game (122.6). The Vikings won two in a row before last week’s Monday night game in Chicago. Minnesota beat the Cowboys last year in Dallas. This year, they will do it at home… MINNESOTA 30, DALLAS 20

 

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The Raiders won for the third straight week beating Denver 37-12 last week setting up this AFC West showdown. Las Vegas already has one win over Kansas City this season beating the Chiefs 40-32 in Week 5. Still, KC is 5-1 against the Raiders in the last six meetings. Plus, the Chiefs have won their last six straight on the road... KANSAS CITY 33, LAS VEGAS 29

 

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The Rams have the kind of defense that can give Tom Brady and Tampa Bay fits. Two of the Bucs losses this season have come in prime time games. They dropped a 20-19 decision to Chicago on a Thursday night and got drilled by division rival New Orleans on a Sunday night. The two teams played last year in a wild shootout, 55-40, won by Tampa Bay. The Bucs are favored at home, but the Rams are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against Tampa Bay… LA RAMS 31, TAMPA BAY 30


2019 predictions

Tennessee @ Jacksonville
In what appeared to be a battle for the No. 1 draft pick, Jacksonville went ahead and beat the Ravens last week, 22-20, to move to 3-6 on the season. Tennessee fell to the unbeaten Carolina Panthers one week after beating New Orleans 34-28 for their second win of the season. The Titans offense is terrible. The Jags aren’t much better, but they are at home… Jacksonville 18, Tennessee 15.

Oakland @ Detroit
Is it possible that the Lions can win two in a row? No one in their right mind thought they would beat Green Bay at Lambeau Field, but that is exactly what they did last week for the first time since 1991. Detroit welcomes a Raiders team that is up and down. They were down a week ago in a loss to Minnesota. Oakland will be up this week… Oakland 37, Detroit 34.

Indianapolis @ Atlanta
For the past six seasons, Atlanta has won every time after a bye week. The Colts, while still leading the AFC South despite a 4-5 record, appear to be improving finally. They beat Denver prior to their bye week. Don’t expect the Colts to stop the Falcons QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones… Atlanta 33, Indianapolis 28.

Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia
It was just a matter of time before Eagles QB Sam Bradford suffered an injury. While not a season-ending injury, Bradford will likely miss this game against the Bucs, who beat Dallas last week when QB Jameis Winston scored late in the fourth quarter. Can Mark Sanchez give Philadelphia a chance? At home, anything is possible… Philadelphia 22, Tampa Bay 17.

Denver @ Chicago
The Broncos fell for the second straight week after starting the season 7-0. Denver lost 29-13 to the Chiefs in a game where Peyton Manning was benched in favor of Brock Osweiler. Manning suffered a foot injury and his status is uncertain. The Bears have won two in a row, road games at San Diego and St. Louis. Can they pull the upset? It’s not Manning and offense that make Denver go; it’s the defense… Denver 24, Chicago 10.

Dallas @ Miami
The Cowboys have not won since Tony Romo broke his collarbone. Romo has missed seven games, all Dallas losses. Miami has been up and down since firing Joe Philbin as head coach. The Dolphins can keep their slim playoff hopes alive with a win… Miami 22, Dallas 20.

Washington @ Carolina
The Redskins put up 47 points in a big win over New Orleans last week but now face a Carolina defense that is much better than the Saints. QB Kirk Cousins will face a fierce pass rush and the running game, led by Alfred Morris (404 yards), will find the going tough. Stopping QB Cam Newton and RB Jonathan Stewart will be too much for Washington… Carolina 27, Washington 13.

Kansas City @ San Diego
The Chiefs are turning their season around. After dropping five in a row, head coach Andy Reid’s team now has won three in a row. The Chiefs have beaten contenders too, beating Pittsburgh 23-13 and Denver 29-13 on the road last week. San Diego is 2-7 and has lost four in a row. The Chargers losing streak can be blamed on a defense that has a hard time stopping anybody… Kansas City 28, San Diego 21.

Green Bay @ Minnesota
It’s hard to believe that Green Bay has lost three games in a row. That the Packers lost to Detroit at home is even more incredible than the fact that Minnesota sits atop the NFC North Division. It’s hard to see Green Bay losing four in a row, but the Minnesota defense might be the best QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have seen… Minnesota 19, Green Bay 17.

Cincinnati @ Arizona
The weekend’s most intriguing matchup happens in Arizona where the 7-2 Cardinals face currently 8-0 Cincinnati. Bengals QB Andy Dalton is enjoying his best season as a pro. He has thrown 18 touchdown passes and just four interceptions. The Cardinals have the league’s top scoring offense. This should be interesting… Arizona 31, Cincinnati 30.

Buffalo @ New England
A last-second field goal kept the Patriots unbeaten at 9-0. This week, they will take on a feisty Buffalo team that needs a win to keep its playoff hopes alive. New England will be without WR Julian Edelman too. Edelman suffered a foot injury and will likely miss the rest of the regular season. It shouldn’t matter this week… New England 38, Buffalo 21.

 

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