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NFL Week 11 Picks and Predictions
Updated: October 2020



Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
So the dumpster fire in Cleveland took a short respite last week as the Browns somehow managed to find an acorn in a 19-16 win over a very good Buffalo team. Don’t expect it to continue. The Browns haven’t beaten Pittsburgh in the last eight tries and have only beaten the Steelers three times since 2003. The train wreck continues… Pittsburgh 27, Cleveland 22


Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions
Things weren’t going so good for the Detroit Lions. Then, they lost QB Matthew Stafford last week and backup Jeff Driskel started as the Lions lost to Chicago to drop to 3-5-1. Dallas had a chance to pull away from Philadelphia in the NFC East but squandered that opportunity with a loss to Minnesota. The Cowboys have won three straight against Detroit and eight of the last 11 dating back to 2003. If Stafford is still out, Detroit goes down again… Dallas 33, Detroit 27


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts
While the Jags had an extra week to prepare for AFC South foe Indianapolis, the Colts were busy finding a way to lose to lowly Miami. With starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett out of the lineup, Brian Hoyer struggled for the Colts and the Dolphins won for a second time this season. Brissett has a sprained MCL and likely won’t play again in Week 11. That might be just enough for the Gardner Minshew show to win a big one in Indy… Jacksonville 22, Indianapolis 19 Sportsbook
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Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
In a freaky week 10, the Bills somehow lost to the Browns and Miami pulled off a stunning victory over Indianapolis. The Dolphins are at home but that probably won’t make much of a difference. The Bills have won four of the last five against Miami including a 31-21 win earlier this season. Miami’s last victory over the Bills did come at home, but 229 total yards and two turnovers as the Dolphins had in last week’s win over the Colts isn’t going to cut it against Buffalo… Buffalo 30, Miami 17


Denver Broncos @ Minnesota Vikings
With a win over Dallas last Sunday night, the Vikings are now 7-3 and right in the thick of the postseason race in the NFC. Minnesota will take on 3-6 Denver, which had last week off to prepare. It won’t matter. Starting QB Joe Flacco is out for the season and backup Brandon Allen will take over. The Broncos only score 16.6 points per game and Denver will have to deal with a very good Vikings running game. Minnesota at home is 4-0. That’s about to change… Minnesota 29, Denver 17


New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Bucs
Is there any way New Orleans could drop a second straight to an inferior team? It’s not likely. The Saints were embarrassed by the previously one-win Atlanta Falcons last week. They have won last two against Tampa Bay and four of the last six. The Saints beat the Bucs 31-24 earlier this season with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. The Bucs won for the third time this season just last week. The victory was over Arizona. Beating New Orleans will be much harder… New Orleans 31, Tampa Bay 28


New York Jets @Washington Redskins
The Jets and the Redskins are in similar situations. Neither team is very good and both are still in the running for the overall No. pick in next year’s draft. The Redskins only victory was over equally abysmal Miami (2-7). The offense is bad. Washington averages 12.0 points per game, dead last in the NFL. The defense is equally awful. The Jets aren’t much better. New York’s offense scores 14.4 points a game. The Jets run defense is somehow second in the league, but then their pass defense is 26th. Could this game end in a tie? The Jets have the better quarterback, so they get the advantage… NY Jets 17, Washington 16


Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
Could the unthinkable happen again? Atlanta upset New Orleans last week and now takes on Carolina, which is still in position to make the postseason. But, the Falcons have won the last three and six of the last seven against Carolina. Now that Panthers QB Cam Newton is out for the season, the task becomes a little easier for Atlanta. Christian McCaffrey will be the difference in this one… Carolina 20, Atlanta 17


New England Patriots @Philadelphia Eagles
Remember the Super Bowl at the end of the 2017 season? Yeah, the Eagles beat the Patriots. Sunday’s game will be nothing like that. This year’s Eagles are erratic at best. They have won two straight over Buffalo and Chicago, but beating the Patriots coming off a bye is going to be very difficult. New England is 14-4 over the last 18 seasons the week after a bye. Reeling from that loss to Baltimore two weeks ago and that extra week to prepare is going to spell trouble for Philadelphia… New England 34, Philadelphia 27


Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams
Last year’s NFC champion and last year’s NFC North winner are both in serious danger of not making this year’s postseason. The Bears won for the first time in five weeks when they beat Detroit last week. At 4-5, the Bears are third in the NFC North. The Rams won the NFC last year, but after a 17-12 loss to Pittsburgh last week fell to 5-4 and third in the NFC West. The remaining schedule for the Rams includes Baltimore, Seattle, Dallas, and San Francisco. This is a must-win… LA Rams 22, Chicago 18


Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers
If the Chargers want to have any chance of making the postseason, a win over division rival Kansas City would go a long way toward achieving that goal. L.A. still has to play Minnesota and the Chiefs once more before the regular season ends. The Chiefs lost a tough one last week to Tennessee, 35-32. The Chargers won the last meeting between the two teams, but they lost the previous nine games to Kansas City. Not good. Don’t expect the Chiefs to lose consecutive games again… Kansas City 30, LA Chargers 27



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Tennessee @ Jacksonville
In what appeared to be a battle for the No. 1 draft pick, Jacksonville went ahead and beat the Ravens last week, 22-20, to move to 3-6 on the season. Tennessee fell to the unbeaten Carolina Panthers one week after beating New Orleans 34-28 for their second win of the season. The Titans offense is terrible. The Jags aren’t much better, but they are at home… Jacksonville 18, Tennessee 15.

Oakland @ Detroit
Is it possible that the Lions can win two in a row? No one in their right mind thought they would beat Green Bay at Lambeau Field, but that is exactly what they did last week for the first time since 1991. Detroit welcomes a Raiders team that is up and down. They were down a week ago in a loss to Minnesota. Oakland will be up this week… Oakland 37, Detroit 34.

Indianapolis @ Atlanta
For the past six seasons, Atlanta has won every time after a bye week. The Colts, while still leading the AFC South despite a 4-5 record, appear to be improving finally. They beat Denver prior to their bye week. Don’t expect the Colts to stop the Falcons QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones… Atlanta 33, Indianapolis 28.

Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia
It was just a matter of time before Eagles QB Sam Bradford suffered an injury. While not a season-ending injury, Bradford will likely miss this game against the Bucs, who beat Dallas last week when QB Jameis Winston scored late in the fourth quarter. Can Mark Sanchez give Philadelphia a chance? At home, anything is possible… Philadelphia 22, Tampa Bay 17.

Denver @ Chicago
The Broncos fell for the second straight week after starting the season 7-0. Denver lost 29-13 to the Chiefs in a game where Peyton Manning was benched in favor of Brock Osweiler. Manning suffered a foot injury and his status is uncertain. The Bears have won two in a row, road games at San Diego and St. Louis. Can they pull the upset? It’s not Manning and offense that make Denver go; it’s the defense… Denver 24, Chicago 10.

Dallas @ Miami
The Cowboys have not won since Tony Romo broke his collarbone. Romo has missed seven games, all Dallas losses. Miami has been up and down since firing Joe Philbin as head coach. The Dolphins can keep their slim playoff hopes alive with a win… Miami 22, Dallas 20.

Washington @ Carolina
The Redskins put up 47 points in a big win over New Orleans last week but now face a Carolina defense that is much better than the Saints. QB Kirk Cousins will face a fierce pass rush and the running game, led by Alfred Morris (404 yards), will find the going tough. Stopping QB Cam Newton and RB Jonathan Stewart will be too much for Washington… Carolina 27, Washington 13.

Kansas City @ San Diego
The Chiefs are turning their season around. After dropping five in a row, head coach Andy Reid’s team now has won three in a row. The Chiefs have beaten contenders too, beating Pittsburgh 23-13 and Denver 29-13 on the road last week. San Diego is 2-7 and has lost four in a row. The Chargers losing streak can be blamed on a defense that has a hard time stopping anybody… Kansas City 28, San Diego 21.

Green Bay @ Minnesota
It’s hard to believe that Green Bay has lost three games in a row. That the Packers lost to Detroit at home is even more incredible than the fact that Minnesota sits atop the NFC North Division. It’s hard to see Green Bay losing four in a row, but the Minnesota defense might be the best QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have seen… Minnesota 19, Green Bay 17.

Cincinnati @ Arizona
The weekend’s most intriguing matchup happens in Arizona where the 7-2 Cardinals face currently 8-0 Cincinnati. Bengals QB Andy Dalton is enjoying his best season as a pro. He has thrown 18 touchdown passes and just four interceptions. The Cardinals have the league’s top scoring offense. This should be interesting… Arizona 31, Cincinnati 30.

Buffalo @ New England
A last-second field goal kept the Patriots unbeaten at 9-0. This week, they will take on a feisty Buffalo team that needs a win to keep its playoff hopes alive. New England will be without WR Julian Edelman too. Edelman suffered a foot injury and will likely miss the rest of the regular season. It shouldn’t matter this week… New England 38, Buffalo 21.


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