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NFL Week 4 Picks & Predictions:
Updated: October 2021

 

NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTIONS

 

JACKSONVILLE - CINCINNATI
Thursday night, fans get to see two young quarterbacks in action. Cincy’s Joe Burrow responded to his difficult Week 2 with a three-touchdown Week 3 performance in a win over Pittsburgh. The Bengals could go 3-0 with a win at home over the Jags. Cincy did win last year 33-25 in a game also played in Cincinnati. Make it two in a row… CINCINNATI 33, JACKSONVILLE 27

 

Sunday Games

 

WASHINGTON - ATLANTA
Atlanta picked up its first win of the season, a 17-14 yawner over the Giants. What happened to all that scoring Atlanta was supposed to do? The Falcons are averaging just 16 points a game. Washington got drilled by Buffalo. For a defense supposedly as good as Washington’s, the Football Team is giving up 31 points a game. Give the advantage to the Washington front seven and their ability to get after Matt Ryan… WASHINGTON 28, ATLANTA 27

 

INDIANAPOLIS - MIAMI
Miami is now 10-5 in its last 15 games. They have also covered the spread in 11 of those games. The Colts are really struggling. With a 25-16 loss to Tennessee last week, Indy fell to 0-3. Since 1980, only six teams have made the postseason after starting a season 0-3. The Dolphins lost in overtime last week to the Raiders with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. Brissett will continue to play for Miami with Tua Tagovailoa out. Both teams have been hit by the injury bug. Slight advantage to the home team… MIAMI 24, INDIANAPOLIS 21

 

CLEVELAND - MINNESOTA
The Browns are now 2-1 and came within four points of upsetting Kansas City in their season opener. Last week, Cleveland’s defense sacked Bears rookie QB Justin Fields nine times. That isn’t likely against Kirk Cousins and Minnesota, but the Browns will disrupt the Vikings passing game. Minnesota upset Seattle last week. The Vikings are 4-1 in their last five against the Browns at home… MINNESOTA 33, CLEVELAND 30

 

NY GIANTS - NEW ORLEANS
The Giants actually showed some promise in Week 2 losing to Washington in the final seconds. For good measure, New York did it again in Week 3 losing to Atlanta 17-14 on the game’s final play. It was a 40-yard field goal by Atlanta’s Younghoe Koo. Now 0-3, the Giants head to New Orleans where the Saints are 2-1. The Giants passing game ranks 31st in the league and New York averages just 14 points a game (29th)… NEW ORLEANS 29, NY GIANTS 17

 

TENNESSEE - NY JETS
Another NFL season, another dumpster fire in New York. The Jets are 0-3 and have scored a grand total of 20 points in three games. They were shut out last week in a loss to the Jets and haven’t scored a touchdown since Week 1. The Titans are 2-1 putting it to the Colts last week. Derrick Henry and company will be too much for the lowly Jets… TENNESSEE 31, NY JETS 17

 

KANSAS CITY - PHILADELPHIA
Who would have thought after three games the Chiefs would be in last place in the AFC West? That’s exactly the case and KC can’t afford another loss on the road in Philly. The Chiefs will have a rest advantage after losing to the Chargers on Sunday. Philly plays Dallas on Monday night. Since 2017, the Chiefs have the second best overall regular season record 55-21. They are also 14-5 in games where they had a rest advantage since 2017… KANSAS CITY 34, PHILADELPHIA 27

 

ARIZONA - LA RAMS
Sunday’s Cardinals-Rams clash is for first place in the division. The Rams win over Tampa Bay on Sunday makes them a favorite to win Super Bowl LVI. Both offenses can put up points. The difference will be the defense that makes more plays. The advantage there goes to the Rams and three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald, who had a sack and a tackle for loss against the Bucs… LA RAMS 31, ARIZONA 30

 

SEATTLE - SAN FRANCISCO
The other two teams in the NFC West also meet when Seattle travels to San Francisco. The Niners gave Aaron Rodgers 37 seconds too many in their Sunday night loss to the Packers. Seattle needs to rebound from consecutive losses to Tennessee and Minnesota. Surprisingly, the 49ers are 0-5 in their last five games at home. That has to change… SAN FRANCISCO 24, SEATTLE 20

 

BALTIMORE - DENVER
The Ravens beat Detroit last week on an NFL record field goal by Justin Tucker. It will be another tight game with Denver this Sunday. The Broncos defense is one of the best in the league. Denver is allowing 8.7 points per game and just 59.3 yards on the ground. That’s where Baltimore is best – running the ball. This will be a slugfest, but the edge goes to Denver playing at home at altitude… DENVER 20, BALTIMORE 17

 

PITTSBURGH - GREEN BAY
The Steelers are falling apart, both figuratively and literally. QB Ben Roethlisberger was dinged up again and WR JuJu Smith-Schuster could be out with a rib injury. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers let everyone know that their season-opening loss to New Orleans was a fluke. Rodgers led a last-minute drive to beat the 49ers last week. He’ll beat the Steelers this week… GREEN BAY 27, PITTSBURGH 17

 

TAMPA BAY - NEW ENGLAND
Tom Brady returns to New England. The only thing the Patriots have going is head coach Bill Belichick. He’ll try to scheme to take away what Brady does best. The problem is he still has to put his rookie QB Mac Jones up against the Bucs defense. That isn’t going to go so well. Tampa Bay rebounds from last week’s loss to the Rams with a win in Brady’s return… TAMPA 30, NEW ENGLAND 20

 

LAS VEGAS - NEW ENGLAND
How about a Monday night Raiders-Chargers AFC West clash for control of the division? The Chargers beat the Chiefs last week and Las Vegas won in overtime to move to 3-0. The Raiders offense is outstanding. QB Derek Carr leads the league in passing (1,203 yards) and Vegas is tops in the NFL with 471 yards per game. The Chargers Justin Herbert isn’t far behind Carr in fourth with 956 yards passing in three games. This has the potential to be a shootout. The Chargers defense will be the difference… LA CHARGERS 34, LAS VEGAS 31

 

 

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DENVER @ NY JETS

Thursday, October 1st, 2020
Betting Line: Jets -1, O/U 41

The Jets continue to prove they are the worst team in the NFL. Through three games – all losses – the Jets have scored a grand total of 37 points. It’s not all that much better in Denver where the Broncos are down a quarterback and have put up just 45 points in their three losses. Denver has to travel east, so the Jets have the…wait…no, there’s no advantage here… DENVER 17, NY JETS 14

INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Colts -2.5, O/U 43.5

Don’t look now, but the Chicago Bears are 3-0. QB Nick Foles led a Bears comeback last week as Chicago beat Atlanta. Now, the Bears welcome the Colts to Soldier Field. Indy (2-1) had its way with the Jets last week. The Colts defense forced three turnovers last week. Home field won’t matter in this one… INDIANAPOLIS 30, CHICAGO 27

JACKSONVILLE @ CINCINNATI
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Bengals -3, O/U 49

These were supposed to be two teams that would fight for the worst record in the NFL this season. The Jags got off to a good start with a win in Week 1 but have dropped two straight. The Bengals didn’t lose last week. They didn’t win either in a 23-23 tie with Philadelphia. Is it time for rookie QB Joe Burrow to get his first NFL victory? Not yet… JACKSONVILLE 34, CINCINNATI 27

SEATTLE @ MIAMI
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Seahawks -6, O/U 54

The Dolphins got their first win of the season last week beating Jacksonville on Thursday night. They will have an extra three days to prepare for the 3-0 Seahawks. It might make a difference. Russell Wilson is on his way to an MVP season with an NFL record 14 touchdown passes through three games. The Dolphins are just 6-14 in their last 20 games, but they are a surprising 5-1 in their last six games against Seattle at home. Upset special… MIAMI 34, SEATTLE 30

LA CHARGERS @ TAMPA BAY
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Buccaneers -7, O/U 43

The Chargers couldn’t convert a trick play in last week’s final seconds and lost to previously winless Carolina. Now, they have to go east and play Tom Brady who is fresh off throwing three touchdown passes in a win over Denver. The Chargers have actually won eight of the last eleven in this series, but they are only 1-5 in their last six games… TAMPA BAY 30, LA CHARGERS 21

BALTIMORE @ WASHINGTON
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Ravens -14, O/U 45

Though separated by less than 30 miles, the Ravens and Washington have only played six times in NFL history. Washington has won the last two games, but they were played in 2012 and 2016. Ravens QB Lamar Jackson makes the Ravens a huge favorite. Washington has won just three of its last ten games and two of those wins were last year against Detroit and Carolina… BALTIMORE 35, WASHINGTON 17

ARIZONA @ CAROLINA
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Cardinals -3.5, O/U 51.5

The Cardinals were one of the early surprises of the 2020 NFL season until they lost to Detroit at home last week. Carolina got a surprise win without star RB Christian McCaffrey who is out with a high ankle sprain. The Cardinals are just 1-6 in the last seven games against Carolina on the road. Still, Arizona QB Kyler Murray will be hard to contain… ARIZONA 29, CAROLINA 20

MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Texans -3.5, O/U 54

Somehow, both the Vikings and Texans are 0-3. Minnesota has just one win in its last seven games. Houston isn’t much better with a single win in its last six. Houston and Minnesota have only played four times in NFL history. Minnesota has won all four games. The Vikings are favored to win because the Texans can’t run the ball and can’t stop anyone. They have to turn it around sometime… HOUSTON 24, MINNESOTA 20

NY GIANTS @ LA RAMS
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Rams -12.5, O/U 48

Is it the air in MetLife Stadium? The only thing worse than the Jets might be the Giants who have scored just 38 points in three games thus far. The Giants won’t have an opportunity to lose at home again as they travel to Los Angeles to face the Rams. A questionable pass interference penalty allowed Buffalo to beat the Rams 35-32 last week. It was the Rams first loss of the season. Don’t expect another one in Week 4… LA RAMS 35, NY GIANTS 17

NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Chiefs -7, O/U 53.5

It’s no longer Patrick Mahomes versus Tom Brady, but Mahomes against Cam Newton should be a nice battle. The teams have played three times in the past two season with the Patriots winning two. KC won last year’s game in New England. Newton hasn’t been outstanding, but the Pats are 2-1. The edge goes to Mahomes at home in this one… KANSAS CITY 33, NEW ENGLAND 28

BUFFALO @ LAS VEGAS
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: Bills -3, O/U 52.5

Buffalo QB Josh Allen is an emerging star after leading the Bills to a comeback victory over the Rams last week. The Raiders dropped a 36-20 decision to New England. The Raiders are 7-3 in their last 10 home games, though only one of those was in Vegas. The Bills are only 3-6 in their last nine games against the Raiders. Call it an upset… LAS VEGAS 28, BUFFALO 24

PHILADELPHIA @ SAN FRANCISCO
Sunday, October 3rd, 2020
Betting Line: 49ers -7, O/U 46

Coming off the kiss-your-sister tie with Cincinnati, the Eagles are still looking for their first win in 2020. To do it, they must go west and beat the defending NFC champion, San Francisco. The Niners were supposed to have some trouble last week as they played without QB Jimmy Garoppolo, RB Raheem Mostert, DE Nick Bosa, and DT Solomon Thomas. They beat the Giants 36-9. Philly will present more of a challenge and get their first win of the season… PHILADELPHIA 27, SAN FRANCISCO 24

ATLANTA @ GREEN BAY
Monday, October 5th, 2020
Betting Line: Packers -7, O/U 57

Green Bay beat the Saints on the road last week, which is no easy task. The Packers are now 9-1 in their last ten games. The Falcons blew another lead and despite averaging 30 points per game. Atlanta is now 0-3 due to a defense that surrenders 36 points a game. The Packers haven’t lost at home in their last seven at Lambeau… GREEN BAY 33, ATLANTA 27

 

Last season week 4 predictions:

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay
Sunday, September 26th, 2019
Betting Line: Packers -4.5, O/U 45


The Philadelphia Eagles are in trouble. They have dropped two straight games by a total of seven points and their roster is dwindling. Receivers Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson might miss Thursday’s game with Green Bay, which is now 3-0. Aaron Rodgers and the offense appear unstoppable. And this week’s game is at Lambeau Field… Green Bay 27, Philadelphia 24

 

Tennessee Titans @ Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Falcons -4, O/U 45.5


Tennessee opened the season with a big win over Cleveland but has faltered the last two weeks. Atlanta got a strong win over Philadelphia in Week 2 but lost a close one to Indianapolis last week. The series between the two teams is tied at 7-all, but the Falcons have won the last two which includes an Atlanta win at home in 2011. Tennessee plays great defense, but it won’t be enough… Atlanta 30, Tennessee 23

 

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Patriots -7, O/U 42


It’s a surprising early season AFC East showdown. Unbeaten New England is not the surprise, but the 3-0 Bills are. The Patriots defense has not given up a touchdown yet and Buffalo is not an offensive juggernaut. There is also history to consider. Since December of 2003, the Bills have only beaten New England three times. The Patriots have won the last five straight too, but they have suffered some injuries. Buffalo might keep it close at home, but the Bills will lose a sixth straight… New England 24, Buffalo 17

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Detroit Lions
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Chiefs -6, O/U 54


It’s hard to believe that the Chiefs-Lions game is actually a battle of unbeatens. The Lions found a way to beat Philadelphia last week to move to 2-0-1 on the season. Kansas City is still on a roll. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for three more touchdown passes last week. He’ll likely do it again against a suspect Lions defense… Kansas City 34, Detroit 24

 

Oakland Raiders @ Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Colts -7, O/U 45


After a road loss to Minnesota, the Raiders limp into Indianapolis to take on the 2-1 Colts. A year ago with Andrew Luck at quarterback, the Colts destroyed the Raiders 42-28. Indy has beaten Oakland five of the last six times the two teams have met. New Colts QB Jacoby Brissett completed his first 16 passes last week in a win over Atlanta. The Colts are 1-0 at home this season. Advantage, home team… Indianapolis 32, Oakland 28

 

Los Angeles Chargers @ Miami Dolphins
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Chargers -16, O/U 45


The Chargers are a surprising 1-2 after a loss to Houston at home last week. Too many turnovers and penalties has been the theme for Los Angeles. No matter how bad they are this week, Miami will be worse. The Dolphins are 0-3 and have scored a whopping 16 points this season. Miami is giving up an almost unfathomable 44.3 points per game. Playing at home won’t help… LA Chargers 33, Miami 10

 

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Giants -3, O/U 47


The Giants inserted rookie QB Daniel Jones into the lineup and he produced a win last week over Tampa Bay. Jones completed 23-of-36 passes for 336 yards and two touchdowns. The Washington defense is probably worse than the Bucs, and the Giants will be playing at home. The Redskins were giving up 31.5 points per game heading into a Monday night game against the Bears. Ouch… NY Giants 28, Washington 21

 

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Seahawks -5, O/U 47


The Seahawks may be looking ahead to playing the Rams next week, but the Cardinals are simply no match. Seattle won both games against Arizona last year, including a 20-17 victory at University of Phoenix Stadium. The Cardinals Kyler Murray is exciting, but the defense is giving up 29.3 points per game. The Seahawks will be looking for a win after losing to New Orleans at home last week… Seattle 21, Arizona 19

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Bears -3, O/U 38


The Vikings are 2-1 thanks to RB Dalvin Cook who has rushed for over 100 yards in each of Minnesota’s first three games. The powerful running game will get a test going up against a Bears defense that is one of the league’s best against the run. The Bears offense has yet to get going this season averaging just 9.5 points a game through two games. Chicago won both games last year and is hard to beat at Soldier Field… Chicago 17, Minnesota 14

 

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Broncos -3, O/U 38.5


The Gardner Minshew show continues as Jacksonville heads to Denver. The Jags won last Thursday to get their first win of the season. The Broncos dropped to 0-3 after a loss to Green Bay. Playing in Denver is tough for any team. The Jags last won in Denver in 2008. Denver has won the past two meetings. With a defense like Denver’s, the Broncos will stay in the game and take advantage of the Jags’ rookie quarterback to get their first win of the season…Denver 22, Jacksonville 19

 

Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday, September 29th, 2019
Betting Line: Cowboys -3, O/U 46


The Cowboys will take their unbeaten record to New Orleans on Sunday night to take on a Saints team that went to Seattle last week and won…without Drew Brees at quarterback. Teddy Bridgewater threw two touchdowns and RB Alvin Kamara totaled 161 yards and two touchdowns to lead New Orleans to a 33-27 win. The Cowboys are about as balanced as it gets. They rank third in the NFL in rushing offense, fourth in passing, they are scoring 32.3 points a game, and allowing just 14.7. Something has to give, so the advantage goes to the Saints at home…New Orleans 34, Dallas 33

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, September 30th, 2019
Betting Line: Steelers -4, O/U 43


This AFC North battle wasn’t supposed to be between 0-3 teams, but that is exactly what it is. The Steelers are simply awful and without starting QB Ben Roethlisberger for the rest of the season. Mason Rudolph has played as good as one would expect for a backup, but until the Steelers figure out how to run the football they will continue to lose. The Bengals are having the same struggles averaging 42 yards a game on the ground. The defense is giving up 27.7 points a game. Pittsburgh has won the last eight meetings between the two teams, including the last three at home… Pittsburgh 23, Cincinnati 20

 


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