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NFL Week 5 Predictions
Updated: November 2020

NFL WEEK 5 PREDICTIONS

 

 

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Tom Brady finally unleashed his wrath last week with five touchdown passes as the Bucs beat the Chargers. The Bears lost at home to the Colts, but Tampa Bay’s defense is nowhere near as good as Indy’s. The last time these two teams played in Chicago, the Bears won 48-10. The Bears have won four of the last six against Tampa Bay… CHICAGO 38, TAMPA BAY 31

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Which team would you have thought would be on a two-game win streak headed into this game? It’s not Atlanta, which has the worst defense in the NFL. Prior to their Monday night game last week, they were giving up 36 points per game. That won’t cut it in the NFL. Atlanta has won the last five in a row against Carolina. The Panthers have just one win in the last nine meetings with the Falcons. Plus, Atlanta is at home… ATLANTA 29, CAROLINA 20

 

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Are the Bills the best team in the NFL not named Kansas City? It’s very likely and Week 5 will give a clearer indication. Tennessee did not play last week due to a number of positive coronavirus tests. Buffalo QB Josh Allen is an emerging star for the 4-0 Bills. Buffalo has won three in a row over the Titans including two close games in each of the last two seasons. Expect another tight one…BUFFALO 17, TENNESSEE 14

 

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The Raiders have dropped two in a row since opening the season with two wins. Now, they have to face the video game offense also known as the Kansas City Chiefs. Oh, and the Chiefs have won five straight against their biggest rivals in the AFC West. And, KC has won 10 of the last 11 in the series and always plays well at Arrowhead Stadium… KANSAS CITY 33, LAS VEGAS 20

 

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Can the Jets get any worse? It looked like they had a shot at a win last week in Denver, but they ultimately blew it. The Jets held a 28-27 lead with 6:23 to play but gave up 10 points to lose. Typical Jets. Arizona started the season with two straight wins and now has lost two straight. The Cardinals managed just 262 yards of offense last week in a loss to Carolina. That won’t happen again… ARIZONA 27, NY JETS 24

 

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This in-state clash is also a battle of division leaders. The Steelers are a perfect 3-0, but the Eagles have found some way to lead the NFC East with a 1-2-1 record. The two teams only play each other every four years. The Eagles have won four of the last six dating back to 1997. The Steelers have one of the best defenses in the NFL and an offense that can score. Plus, they get to play at Heinz Field… PITTSBURGH 28, PHILADELPHIA 20

 

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Washington has beaten the Rams the last two times these teams have played, including one win at home at FedEx Field. Washington has just one win this season and that is against Philadelphia, which is just 1-2-1. The Rams weren’t all that impressive in a 17-9 win over the 0-4 Giants last week. Another trip east for the Rams might be just what Washington needs for an upset… WASHINGTON 24, LA RAMS 20

 

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Cincinnati got a rare win last week, but it was against Jacksonville. The Bengals have lost three straight to the Ravens. QB Lamar Jackson was more himself last week as he passed for two touchdowns and ran for one more in a win over Washington. With the Ravens playing at home, forget about an upset… BALTIMORE 35, CINCINNATI 17

 

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The NFC East is a complete dumpster fire with a combined record of 3-12-1 thus far this season. Somebody will have to win the division and it could be Dallas, which is averaging a completely unsustainable 509 yards of offense per game. The Giants simply can’t score. They have scored just 47 points and haven’t reached double figures in their last two games. The Dallas offense will light up the Giants defense… DALLAS 31, NY GIANTS 17

 

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This is not the Broncos-Patriots game of a few years back. The Broncos did win their first game last week, but it was against the Jets. New England is still right in the thick of things at 2-1 prior to their Monday night game with Kansas City. With the game in Foxborough, it’s worth noting that the Patriots have won five straight at home against Denver… NEW ENGLAND 27, DENVER 23

 

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Can anyone stop the Seahawks? Russell Wilson is outstanding with 1,285 passing yards and a league-best 16 touchdown passes. The offense averages 36 points a game, but the defense is suspect. The Seahawks are giving up an uncharacteristic 27.3 points per game. Minnesota has the fifth-best rushing offense (150.5 ypg) in the league. Can they control the ball enough to keep it away from Wilson and the Seattle offense? Probably not… SEATTLE 34, MINNESOTA 28

 

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The Saints got back on track with a win over Detroit last week after consecutive losses to the Raiders and Packers. They will be at home on a Monday night. Since 2010, the Saints are 11-5 on Monday Night Football. The Chargers have lost three straight and will be without RB Austin Ekeler for a couple weeks due to a hamstring injury. With a rookie quarterback, it won’t get any better for L.A…. NEW ORLEANS 37, LA CHARGERS 20

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Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, October 3rd, 2019
Betting Line: Seahawks -2, O/U 49


The Rams were upset by Tampa Bay last week at home and now have to travel to division rival Seattle. Los Angeles has won the last three straight, including two at CenturyLink Field, over the Seahawks. The Rams are not running the ball all that well, but you get the feeling they aren’t going to lose two in a row. Plus, the Rams won all six division games last season… LA Rams 33, Seattle 30

Arizona Cardinals @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Cardinals -4, O/U 48


They are two of the worst teams in the NFL this season. The Cardinals are still winless but rookie QB Kyler Murray has his moments. The Bengals forgot how to run the football and aren’t having much success either. These two teams don’t play each other that often (only 11 times total). Arizona won the last one in 2015 at home. Cincinnati won at home in 2011. Advantage home team… Cincinnati 23, Arizona 20

Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Vikings -5, O/U 45


The Vikings ran into the buzzsaw that is the Bears defense last week. At 2-2, Minnesota needs to get back on track and needs to find its passing game. The Giants are hot under rookie QB Daniel Jones who led New York to a second win in his second NFL start. The two wins are over Tampa Bay and Washington though. The Vikings defense will present more of a problem for Jones… Minnesota 28, NY Giants 20

New York Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Eagles -14, O/U 45


It looks like Jets QB Sam Darnold will be ready to play against the Eagles on Sunday. It won’t matter much if the Jets can’t run the football. Le’Veon Bell has just 163 yards rushing in three games and the Jets are 28th in the NFL on the ground. With their quarterback situation, the Jets are dead last in the league in passing offense. Darnold or no Darnold, the Jets aren’t beating an Eagles team that won in Green Bay last Thursday… Philadelphia 31, NY Jets 18

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Ravens -4, O/U 45


This AFC North battle lost some its luster when Pittsburgh started the season 0-3 and Baltimore lost to Cleveland last week. Sunday’s game is that much more important now as the Ravens and Browns are tied for the division lead. Pittsburgh has had success against the Ravens recently winning four of the last five, but Baltimore did win in Pittsburgh last season. And that was when the Steelers had Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback… Baltimore 30, Pittsburgh 27

New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Patriots -15, O/U 43.5


The only team more inept than the Redskins is the Miami Dolphins. Washington is 28th in the league in total offense, 29th in scoring offense, and 31st in scoring defense. New England is the defending Super Bowl champion and off to a 4-0 start in 2019. The Patriots are giving up just 6.8 points per game, have the league’s best defense right now, and have a guy at quarterback named Tom Brady… New England 44, Washington 10

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Carolina Panthers
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Panthers -3.5, O/U 41


Both the Panthers and Jags are coming off wins last week. Leonard Fournette rushed for 225 yards in the Jags win and Christian McCaffrey had 179 yards of total offense in the Panthers victory. Both will play key roles on Sunday. Carolina has won the last two against the Jags, but they may be playing with Kyle Allen at quarterback once again. Jacksonville’s Gardner Minshew is the better backup quarterback… Jacksonville 19, Carolina 18

Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Texans -5, O/U 48.5


The Falcons season is not off to a great start. Atlanta is struggling on offense, which is hard to believe given they have QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones, and RB Devonta Freeman. At 1-3, the Falcons desperately need a win. Houston struggled last week against Carolina as QB Deshaun Watson was under tremendous pressure. Atlanta doesn’t generate that kind of heat on opposing quarterbacks… Houston 21, Atlanta 17

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Chargers -6.5, O/U 43


It’s hard to believe, but the Broncos are 0-4. They have lost some tough ones including last week’s 26-24 defeat to the Jaguars at home. The normally stout defense is not so good. The pass rush finally got after an opposing quarterback sacking Jacksonville’s Gardner Minshew five times. They will need to do that against Philip Rivers on Sunday. The Chargers have only won three of the last eleven against Denver, but they have won two of the last three. Away from home, the Broncos don’t get win No. 1 quite yet… LA Chargers 23, Denver 20

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Cowboys -3, O/U 47


Both the Packers and Cowboys fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last week. One of them is losing two in a row. The Dallas defense is slightly better than Green Bay. Dallas is fifth in scoring defense (14.0) while the Packers are seventh (17.3). The Cowboys are seventh in total defense (318.5); Green Bay is 10th (330.3). Aaron Rodgers might have the edge on Dallas QB Dak Prescott, and the Packers have won seven of the last eight meetings. Still, Dallas is playing at home… Dallas 35, Green Bay 31

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: Chiefs -10, O/U 56


The Chiefs remained unbeaten with a win in Detroit last week. The Colts were upset by Oakland to fall to 2-2. Indianapolis couldn’t run the ball last week, but the Chiefs defense is still a little suspect. They allowed the Lions 186 yards rushing. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes did not throw a touchdown pass for the first time this season in the win over the Lions. The Colts aren’t exactly the best pass defense in the NFL. Remember, the Chiefs pounded the Colts in last year’s playoffs at Arrowhead Stadium, the site of Sunday night’s game… Kansas City 35, Indianapolis 21

Cleveland Browns @ San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, October 0th, 2019
Betting Line: 49ers -3, O/U 47.5


Surprisingly, the 49ers are one of only three remaining unbeaten teams in the NFL. San Francisco had a bye last week getting a full two weeks off to prepare for the Browns on Monday night. Cleveland comes in after a surprise win over the Ravens in Baltimore. Cleveland put up 40 points on a pretty good Ravens defense. The Niners are third in the NFL in total defense and they are only giving up 18 points per game. Cleveland’s offense is starting to click. Traveling to the West Coast for a Monday night game is no easy task… San Francisco 29, Cleveland 23

old predictions

Indianapolis @ Houston
The once virtually unstoppable Colts offense has been anything but thus far in the 2015 season. Indianapolis had to find a way to beat Jacksonville last week. The Texans are 1-3 and haven’t fared much better. In Houston, head coach Bill O’Brien gets the win his Texans need to get back on track…. Houston 21, Indianapolis 17.

Seattle @ Cincinnati
Two franchises that are built along the same lines clash in Week 5. The Bengals may be the most efficient offense in the NFL. Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill lead the running game and QB Andy Dalton and WR A.J. Green control the passing game. The status of Marshawn Lynch may determine the outcome in this one… Cincinnati 34, Seattle 31.

Cleveland @ Baltimore
The Browns haven’t beat the Ravens in Baltimore since 2007 and have only one win in the series since (2013). Baltimore got its first win of the season a week ago against division rival Pittsburgh. A second straight AFC North win puts Baltimore back on track… Baltimore 34, Cleveland 17.


St. Louis @ Green Bay
The Rams are one of the more intriguing teams in the NFL this season. With new QB Nick Foles, the offense has looked phenomenal in wins over Seattle and last week against previously undefeated Arizona. St. Louis has two quality wins over arguably the best teams in their division. The problem is that the offense has also played poorly in losses to Pittsburgh and Washington. The Rams put up just 16 points in those losses. The Packers are practically unbeatable in Lambeau. They are 4-0 so far and about to go to 5-0… Green Bay 30, St. Louis 14.

New England @ Dallas
The Patriots are coming off an early season bye week. Head coach Bill Belichick does not lose very often when he has had an extra week to prepare for an opponent. New England’s offense looks unstoppable. QB Tom Brady leads the NFL in passing and has only played in three games. Tight end Rob Gronkowski is averaging over 19 yards a catch and has four touchdowns and the always productive Julian Edelman has 30 receptions in three games. New England takes on a Dallas team that will once again play without QB Tony Romo. The Cowboys offense was already without All-Pro wide receiver Dez Bryant, but the offense played well under backup QB Brandon Weeden in a 39-28 loss to Atlanta. Still, it’s the Patriots… New England 48, Dallas 20.

Pittsburgh @ San Diego
The Chargers offense has played well enough to be 4-0, but the defense has had trouble with Cincinnati and Minnesota both of which have strong ground games. The Vikings Adrian Peterson and the Bengals Gio Bernard each ran for over 100 yards against the Chargers defense. San Diego will face last year’s second-leading rusher Le’Veon Bell who ran for 129 yards in a loss to Baltimore last week. Bell is likely to carry much of the offensive load as the Steelers will play without starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger again. He is out with a knee injury and will miss at least another four weeks. Michael Vick has played erratically in his place and it will be up to Bell to take some of the pressure off of the 15-year veteran. San Diego has won two games, both at home, and lost two, both on the road. At home, the Chargers find a way… San Diego 26, Pittsburgh 23.

San Francisco @ New York Giants
What happened to the 49ers offense? QB Colin Kaepernick has been horrible and San Francisco has scored just 48 points in four games. That combined with the fact that the defense can’t really stop anybody has led to a 1-3 start under new head coach Jim Tomsula. Kaepernick was sacked six times in last week’s 17-3 loss to Green Bay. While the Giants are no Green Bay, their defense played well last week limiting Buffalo to just 10 points in a 24-10 win. The Giants offense is still pass heavy. Leading rusher Rashad Jennings has just 96 yards rushing in four games. Still, New York should have enough firepower to take care of the 49ers… NY Giants 31, San Francisco 12.

Buffalo @ Tennessee
The Bills looked like a real contender after losing by just eight to New England and then blowing out the Dolphins 41-14. Last week, they took a step backwards in a 24-10 loss to the New York Giants. The league’s leading rushing attack (152.7 yards per game) could only muster 55 yards and QB Tyrod Taylor didn’t have much success until the second half completing 28-of-42 for 274 yards. The Titans had a bye week in preparation for the Bills. After beating Tampa Bay in Week 1, Tennessee has dropped two straight and given up 63 points in the process. Quarterback Marcus Mariota continues to become acclimated to life as a pro quarterback. He has thrown for 833 yards in three games, but his quarterback rating is just 50.6. Even with the extra week, Buffalo isn’t going to lose two in a row… Buffalo 23, Tennessee 10.

New Orleans @ Philadelphia
The Saints and Eagles were both favorites in their respective divisions entering the 2015 season. After four weeks, each team finds its playoff hopes slipping away. The Eagles squandered a late lead against Washington last week and gave the Redskins a 23-20 victory. The loss drops Philadelphia to 1-3 on the season. The once potent Eagles running game is now among the league’s worst. After four weeks, head coach Chip Kelly and the offense are 30th in the NFL averaging just 64.3 yards rushing per game. At some point the offense has to gel. The Saints finally won their first game in dramatic fashion when QB Drew Brees hit C.J. Spiller for an 80-yard touchdown pass to beat Dallas in overtime last week. New Orleans fans would like to see more of that, but Spiller and WR Brandin Cooks are going to have to be more involved in the offense… New Orleans 28, Philadelphia 24.

Chicago @ Kansas City
The Bears finally got a win at home against the Raiders last week. Quarterback Jay Cutler hit on 28-of-43 passes for 281 yards and two TDs and kicker Robbie Gould hit a 49-yard field goal with 2:03 to play to give Chicago a 22-20 win. The Bears offense is averaging just over 15 points per game and the defense is among the worst in the league. After four games, Chicago is allowing 35 points a game. The Chiefs, on the other hand, have dropped three straight albeit to three Super Bowl contenders. Head coach Andy Reid’s team lost by a touchdown to Denver, by 10 to Green Bay, and lost 36-21 last week to Cincinnati. At 1-3, it will be an uphill battle but the Chiefs have what it takes to be a playoff contender… Kansas City 35, Chicago 17.


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